Gold Update: China Releases Data & Recent Price Drop

GoldDragonChina finally updated their official gold holdings on Friday, revealing a 57% increase from the previously reported figure, but less than what most analysts were expecting to see. China’s gold reserves totaled 1,658 tonnes at the end of June of this year, up from 1,054 tonnes reported in April 2009. Bloomberg had previously estimated their holdings could be as high as 3,510 metric tonnes based on trade data. While disappointing to many gold investors, the spot price of gold declined only slightly on Friday.

Although the release was welcomed, as many have been eagerly awaiting an update to China’s data, it may have raised more questions than it answered. For example, China had been “releasing” data previously, but reports showed no change in the gold reserves every single month for six years. Therefore, the data was false. According to their official release, it now looks like China increased their gold reserves by 600 tonnes in one month, which cannot be true as the spot price of gold could not have declined as it did with that much buying. Keep reading…

U.S. Mint Runs Out of Silver Bullion

AmericanSilverEagleLast week, the U.S. Mint sold out of its 2015 American Eagle silver bullion coins, citing a ‘significant’ increase in demand, according to Reuters. This also coincided with the drop in silver spot prices from $15.67 per ounce to a low of $14.62 per ounce last Tuesday. Silver hasn’t seen spot prices this low since 2009!

Given the decline in silver prices, it is not surprising to see the surge in demand for physical bullion. Contrary to the actions of futures traders who normally don’t take delivery of the physical metal, bullion investors tend to buy more when the price declines, viewing it as a buying opportunity. Managed futures traders and other money managers may instead be trading based on momentum or other strategies that are not related to an actual desire to own the physical metal.

The U.S. Mint has temporarily run out of silver bullion coins in the past, as they did last November through the end of the year. In this case however, the Mint said they expect sales to resume within a couple of weeks.

Looking at the American Eagle silver coin sales data on the U.S. Mint’s website, we can see demand has indeed been strong in the past two months. In June, the Mint sold 4.84 million 1 ounce silver coins; 80% more compared to June last year. In addition, July sales of 2.7 million ounces have already outpaced last July’s 1.975 million ounces, despite us being only half-way through the month. However, year-to-date silver sales are still slightly behind last year. Keep reading…

9 Overlooked Ways To Save What You Earn

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I have a big gripe with financial advisors, namely that they howl endlessly about saving for the future. While I don’t want to minimize the importance of this, I do believe that the word ‘savings’ has a broader meaning for those of us who ascribe to the importance of livimg For today.

Either way, the end goal is to spend less than you earn. And there are plenty of often-overlooked ways to do this, as I will now share with you:

1. Increase Your 401K & SEP IRA: OK, call me a kiss-up for wanting to make good with the financial advisory world that I just smacked down! But it does make sense to build a savings nest through a defined contribution plan such as a 401K (if you are a W-2 employee) or a Simplified Employee Pension (SEP IRA) if you are self-employed. Both offer a great way to tuck away a few dollars, combined with significant tax savings. Keep reading…

China Attempts to Keep Stock Bubble from Deflating

Last month we wrote about the Chinese stock market bubble that was being inflated, largely by delusional retail investors and easy access to margin and debt. But it wasn’t as if something was in the water – Chinese Mom-and-Pop investors were being egged on by their government to invest in the market as the central planners tried to juice economic statistics, bail-out heavily indebted state-owned firms and turn attention away from the sagging real estate market.

Unsurprisingly, the government-fueled rally is coming to an end as both the Shanghai and Shenzhen Indices have crashed over 30% in less than one month! Approximately $3.9 trillion has been wiped out, more than the total annual output of Germany and 16 times Greece’s GDP, to put it in perspective.

Over 1,400 Chinese companies have suspended trading, which is almost 50% of the market.  Some of this is due to stocks hitting maximum daily decline limits imposed by the exchange, but much is due to the companies themselves halting trading. This is because these companies were using their own corporate stock to collateralize or secure loans from banks.

A correction of 30% would actually be somewhat normal and healthy in any market that has Keep reading…

9 Surprising Insights On Market Economies

 

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Whether face-to-face or on the Internet, stumbling across people with cool ideas has become a regular occurrence for me; perhaps none more captivating than Alex Marshall, Senior Fellow at the Regional Plan Association in New York and author of the book The Surpising Design of Market Economies.

As a self-styled investigator with a libertarian streak acquired early in life, Alex revels in trying to figure out how the world works. His propensity for asking deep questions – and refusing to take no for an answer – comes from his roots as an urban journalist.

Through his incessant wanderings, Alex has concluded that the foundations of conventional capitalism are formed by governments. These public entities, he says, form the basis for what we think of as ‘markets’ or ‘business’.

I asked Alex to expand upon the themes covered in his book by exploring ten surprising insights on market economies. Whether you agree with them or not, my hope is that you will find Alex’s views to be thought-provoking and fodder for mindful conversation.

1) On Writing the Surprising Design of Market Economies

I have always enjoyed offering ideas on how to make things work better and I felt as though there was an aspect of the world that I wanted to tell people about because it surprised me. My book focuses on how various economic entities work. The famous poet Robert Frost said it best, “If there is no surprise for the writer, then there is no surprise for the reader.”

2) On the Necessity of Good Government

Good government is more difficult to attain in the U.S. than in many other countries because there are so many layers to the system. We have state and local government bodies combined with counties, cities, towns, municipalities, school districts, water authorities and other entities. Then we have the federal government overlaying everything. This makes it very difficult for government to be responsive and flexible government. There is no doubt that our system of government could be operated better.

3) On Healthcare

As I say in my book, healthcare should be considered a form of public infrastructure: a right like public education. Yet there are certainly so many opportunities to screw it up, whether through government or private initiatives. When you really get down to the nitty gritty requirements of Obamacare, there are certainly numerous opportunities for making things worse. Hopefully, we can have a government that is responsive enough to ensure change in the healthcare landscape. This will likely involve modifying the healthcare system and continually working at it until we get it right.

4) On Libertarianism

In my youth, I was a libertarian. That was very appealing to me at the time because like many young people, my life was all about freedom and liberty; a variation of “Don’t tell me what to do.” I read the works of Ayn Rand and other writers who were libertarian in their outlook and who espoused the notion that you can do what you want and let the market take care of everything. While that all makes sense, it falters when you really probe at its roots because in reality, a libertarian society currently doesn’t exist. I’ve now moved past libertarianism, although I’m still kind of emotionally libertarian. I still don’t like the idea of government telling people what to do or restricting them. At the same time, we are a cooperative society, one where we need to work together politically, not just in the marketplace. We’ve got to make laws and policies and do so collectively, lest we end up with a dictatorship – something most people want to avoid.

5) On Anarchy

If they really indulge in self-examination, a lot of libertarians might come to the conclusion that they’re actually anarchists. The idea of getting rid of all government in favor of a society that organizes itself without a government, sounds appealing. It’s an interesting idea, but I don’t know if it’s feasible.

6) On Socialism

There is definitely a thread of socialism in my book. Personally, I am in favor of an economic concept called a mixed economy, where some things are handled socialistically and other things privately. Libraries, for example, are pure socialism because we have collective access to free books; all you need to have is a library card. While a few libertarians have a problem with this, most love libraries and their appeal. And from an author’s perspective, libraries are actually not so bad because they purchase a lot of books, often at the full market rate. The same goes with public libraries, schools, water, and roads. We are richer as a society because of all of this public infrastructure.

7) On the Private Sector

While the current economic climate has been trending toward the public, there is an incredible environment of creativity in private business that I would hate to see squelched. That’s why I am a staunch advocate for mixed economies; private business for creativity and entrepreneurial initiatives, aligned with a government that works well and does good work also. That’s the utopia that I envision.

8) On the Notion of Free Markets

I believe that this is a false concept because markets are underpinned by governments. You can’t have people buying or selling something without government creating the basic structure and the systems that make this possible. In the end, markets don’t exist without a government setting it up, running it and regulating it. Yet an exclusively pro-government view can be awkward and sluggish because the public sector tends to wield the club rather than paintbrush.

9) On Cities as Corporations

It’s really a fascinating thing. Cities are not just considered corporations, they are corporations. Historically, corporations have functioned as an artificial body or person created by state government. Cities are one of the oldest forms of corporations and actually have a much longer history than the private corporations we tend to think of today. In a sense, Google and the City of San Francisco are both the same thing, both being corporate bodies created by the state. IBM, Apple and other private companies are descended from the type of corporations that created cities. So it would behoove us to remember that corporations are essentially government creations, created with the intent of benefitting the public. And instead of regulating corporations, the focus should concentrate more on designing them better.

Alex Marshall is a Senior Fellow at the Regional Plan Association of New York. His work has appeared in the New York Times Magazine, Metropolis, Planning, the Washington Post, the Boston Globe, Slate, Salon, and many other publications. More on his book can be found here

Michael Scott is a writer and book publicity baraista located in Denver. His work can be found at http://allthatbookjazz.com